Research

 

We generate original research, policy-relevant evidence and forward-looking analysis.

Our work seeks to challenge conventional assumptions and siloed thinking. It covers a diverse array of armed groups, from al Shabaab in Somalia and jihadists in Mali to criminal groups in the Americas. With an eye on the future, we are working to understand how the fragmentation of the international system and the rise of a multipolar world is shaping armed conflict.

Latest

  • "Never say Never:" Learning Lessons from Afghanistan Reviews

    This »review of reviews« looks at how and what Western governments and international organizations have tried to learn from the intervention in Afghanistan.

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  • Resist, negotiate, submit? Civilian agency and jihadism in Central Mali

    Based on extensive first person research, this report examines how communities negotiate the presence of armed jihadist groups in Central Mali.

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  • Climate Adaptation in No Man's Land

    This paper examines the failure the address climate adaptation in conflict areas beyond state control, and examines the potential for engaging armed groups on the environment.

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  • The Gaza Effect

    This rapid analysis explores how the Israel-Hamas war is shaping armed group behavior and the prospects of engagement.

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  • Citizens without states

    This paper examines the impact of the non-recognition of populations living under de facto authorities. Arguing that the negative social, economic, and well-being impacts on people are profound, it urges for a re-think of approaches to de facto authority.

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  • Playing the Long Game: Exploring the relationship between Al-Shabab and civilians

    Based on extensive research in Al-Shabab controlled areas of Somalia, this paper explores dynamics between Al-Shabab and those who live under their control.

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  • Crime and Communities: Life Under Criminal Group Control

    This paper argues that we should not see ‘political’ and ‘criminal’ groups as separate categories. Instead, we should envision a spectrum of motives and practices across all armed groups, regardless of how they are labeled.

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Research programmes

Civilian-armed

group relations

Civilian-armed group dynamics are often thought of in terms of victimisation and violence - but we know they are often far more complex.

The Centre’s work explores how armed groups seek to exert influence over civilians – and how civilians negotiate life under armed group control.

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Armed group economies

Our work explores how armed groups seek to control or influence economic activity, and how they generate revenue. In particular, we focus on armed group taxation. It makes them money, helps them expand control, and reinforces their legitimacy. Yet we have a limited understanding of what drives and enables it.

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